Fracasso do Value Investing

Resumo:



The business press claims that the long-standing and highly popular value investing strategy— investing in low-valued stocks and selling short high-valued equities—lost its edge since 2007. The reasons for this putative sudden demise of value investing elude investors and academics, making it a challenge to assess the likelihood of the return of value investing to its days of glory. Based on extensive data analysis we show that the strategy has, in fact, been unprofitable for almost 30 years, barring a brief resurrection following dotcom bust. We identify two major reasons for the demise of value: (1) accounting deficiencies causing systematic misidentification of value, and particularly of glamour (growth) stocks, and (2) fundamental economic developments which slowed down significantly the reshuffling of value and glamour stocks which drove the erstwhile gains from the value strategy. We end up by speculating on the likelihood of the resurgence of value investing, which seems low.


Lev, Baruch Itamar and Srivastava, Anup, Explaining the Demise of Value Investing (August 25, 2019). 

Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3442539 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3442539